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Myrtle Beach, SC

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Myrtle Beach, SC

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Myrtle Beach, SC

Cap Rate
4.08%
Median Price
$290K
Rent/Mo
$1,400
1% Rule
0.48%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Myrtle Beach, SC have appreciated at 3.8% per year. This is roughly in line with or slightly above the national average, providing steady equity building without the volatility of boom markets.

5-Year Price Projection

If Myrtle Beach continues appreciating at 3.8% annually, the current median of $290,000 would reach approximately $349,450 in 5 years — an equity gain of $59,450 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $58,000, that represents a 102% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $59,118, the projected total return is $118,568 — a 204% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Myrtle Beach's population is growing at 3.8% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Myrtle Beach, the 4.08% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 3.8% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Myrtle Beach Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Myrtle Beach Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the South

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North Charleston, SC$295K · $1,420/mo
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Fayetteville, AR$275K · $1,320/mo
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Laredo, TX$175K · $1,020/mo
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Hoover, AL$295K · $1,380/mo
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