%
CapRateCity
Free cap rate calculators for every US market
Little Rock, AR

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Little Rock, AR

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Little Rock, AR

Cap Rate
4.92%
Median Price
$195K
Rent/Mo
$1,100
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Little Rock, AR have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Little Rock continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $195,000 would reach approximately $219,550 in 5 years — an equity gain of $24,550 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $39,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $47,931, the projected total return is $72,481 — a 186% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Little Rock is minimal at 0.5%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Little Rock, the 4.92% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Little Rock Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Little Rock Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the South

Warner Robins, GA$195K · $1,150/mo
4.9%
Owensboro, KY$175K · $1,020/mo
5.0%
Baltimore, MD$230K · $1,380/mo
4.9%
Columbia, SC$205K · $1,150/mo
5.0%
Fayetteville, NC$195K · $1,120/mo
4.9%
The CapRateCity Report
Weekly market analysis: highest cap rate cities, emerging markets, and deal breakdowns. Free, no spam.