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Jacksonville, NC

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Jacksonville, NC

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Jacksonville, NC

Cap Rate
4.83%
Median Price
$210K
Rent/Mo
$1,200
1% Rule
0.57%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Jacksonville, NC have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Jacksonville continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $210,000 would reach approximately $237,596 in 5 years — an equity gain of $27,596 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $42,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $50,730, the projected total return is $78,326 — a 186% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Jacksonville's population growth of 1.2% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Jacksonville, the 4.83% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Jacksonville Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Jacksonville Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the South

Lafayette, LA$210K · $1,150/mo
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Fayetteville, NC$195K · $1,120/mo
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Baltimore, MD$230K · $1,380/mo
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Augusta, GA$180K · $1,050/mo
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Baton Rouge, LA$220K · $1,200/mo
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