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Tacoma, WA

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Tacoma, WA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Tacoma, WA

Cap Rate
2.92%
Median Price
$420K
Rent/Mo
$1,720
1% Rule
0.41%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Tacoma, WA have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Tacoma continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $420,000 would reach approximately $477,514 in 5 years — an equity gain of $57,514 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $84,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $61,286, the projected total return is $118,800 — a 141% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Tacoma's population growth of 0.6% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Tacoma, the 2.92% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Tacoma Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Tacoma Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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