Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Denver, CO
Home values in Denver, CO have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.
If Denver continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $520,000 would reach approximately $585,468 in 5 years — an equity gain of $65,468 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $104,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $77,207, the projected total return is $142,675 — a 137% cumulative return on the initial investment.
Denver's population growth of 1.1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($78,600) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.
Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Denver, the 2.97% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.