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Cap Rate Analysis: Tempe, AZ

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Tempe rental properties.

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $385,000 median price and $1,600/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.29%
1% Rule
0.42%
Fails
GRM
20.1x
Price / Income
6.9x

Market Data

Median Home Price$385,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,600
Property Tax Rate0.64%
Population187,680
Population Growth1.2% / yr
Median Household Income$56,200
Vacancy Rate5.2%
Annual Appreciation2.8%

Cap Rate Calculator — Tempe

Pre-filled with Tempe medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.64% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.79%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,750
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
20.1x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.42%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$896
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$19,200
Less Vacancy−$998
Effective Income$18,202
Less Operating Expenses−$7,452
Net Operating Income$10,750

Cash-on-Cash Return — Tempe

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Tempe.

$
$96,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-10.62%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$107,800
$96,250 down + $11,550 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,882
on $289K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-954
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-11,453
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,600
Less Expenses−$672
Less Mortgage−$1,882
Monthly Cash Flow$-954

Is Tempe a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Tempe, AZ has a population of 187,680 and has been growing at 1.2% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $385,000 paired with median rents of $1,600/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.29%.

Property taxes at 0.64% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.9x, homes cost about 6.9 times the local median income of $56,200. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.8% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Tempe is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

Run a BRRRR analysis for Tempe
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