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Cap Rate Analysis: Midland, TX

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Midland rental properties.

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $280,000 median price and $1,450/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.46%
1% Rule
0.52%
Fails
GRM
16.1x
Price / Income
3.8x

Market Data

Median Home Price$280,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,450
Property Tax Rate1.59%
Population146,038
Population Growth2.2% / yr
Median Household Income$74,200
Vacancy Rate5.8%
Annual Appreciation2.6%

Cap Rate Calculator — Midland

Pre-filled with Midland medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.59% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.75%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$7,691
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
16.1x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.52%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$641
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$17,400
Less Vacancy−$1,009
Effective Income$16,391
Less Operating Expenses−$8,700
Net Operating Income$7,691

Cash-on-Cash Return — Midland

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Midland.

$
$70,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-8.08%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$78,400
$70,000 down + $8,400 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,369
on $210K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-528
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-6,337
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,450
Less Expenses−$609
Less Mortgage−$1,369
Monthly Cash Flow$-528

Is Midland a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Midland, TX has a population of 146,038 and has been growing at 2.2% annually — well above the national average, signaling strong housing demand from population inflows. The median home price of $280,000 paired with median rents of $1,450/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.46%.

Property taxes at 1.59% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 5.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 3.8x, homes cost about 3.8 times the local median income of $74,200. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Midland is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

Run a BRRRR analysis for Midland
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